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The Cape of Good Hope Route
The long way around Africa between Asia and Europe, revived by the Red Sea crisis and the 2026 Iran war
For most of the past three years, the fastest way to get a container from Shanghai to Rotterdam was the slow way. When attacks on Red Sea shipping began in late 2023, the big container lines abandoned the Suez Canal and sent their fleets around the southern tip of Africa, the route Portuguese navigators opened five centuries ago. It adds roughly 6,000 kilometers and 10 to 14 days to an Asia–Europe voyage, burns far more fuel, and by BIMCO's estimate raised world demand for container ships by about 10 percent. The 2026 Iran war sent still more ships this way. By October 2026 the lines were finally heading back to Suez, but the Cape had proved again that it is the world's great fallback.
The route leaves East Asia through the Strait of Malacca or the Indonesian straits, crosses the Indian Ocean, and swings around the Cape of Good Hope, often well offshore, before running north along West Africa past the Canary Islands to the Strait of Gibraltar or the English Channel. Shanghai to Rotterdam is about 13,800 nautical miles (some 25,600 kilometers) this way, against about 10,600 via Suez. Despite its fame, the Cape of Good Hope is not Africa's southern tip. Cape Agulhas, about 150 kilometers to the southeast, is, and the waters off both capes are notorious for winter gales and the steep waves of the Agulhas Current. Cape Town, Port Louis in Mauritius, and other ports along the way sell fuel, supplies, and crew changes to passing ships.
Bartolomeu Dias rounded the cape in 1488 and called it the Cape of Storms. King John II of Portugal renamed it Good Hope for the sea road to India it promised, and Vasco da Gama followed that road to Calicut in 1498. The Dutch founded Cape Town in 1652 to supply passing ships. Suez drained much of its traffic after 1869, but the canal's 1967–75 closure and supertankers too deep for Suez kept the Cape busy. Since December 2023 it has carried most Asia–Europe container traffic. The Cape Chamber of Commerce reported a 112 percent surge in passing vessels in early March 2026 as the Iran war spread. By early October 2026 BIMCO estimated that 36 percent of container capacity choosing between the two routes was back on Suez, and Linerlytica expected a full return by early 2027.